Genoa vs Lazio: prediction & betting odds 23 Apr 2025

The Matchday 33 Serie A encounter between Genoa and Lazio will be held on April 23 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. Genoa vs. Lazio: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Genoa

In the previous round, Patrick Vieira's side drew 0-0 with Verona away. As a result, Genoa has managed to earn points in seven of their last nine Serie A matches, losing only in away games against Inter and Juventus during this stretch. Moreover, the team has not conceded more than one goal in any of these matches. Genoa has accumulated 39 points and is currently in 12th place in the standings.

  • The team has not lost in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A (5 wins, 4 draws).
  • The club has scored exactly one or two goals in their last seven home league matches.
  • Genoa has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 home Serie A matches.

Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)

Nikola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Stefano Sabelli, Koni De Winter – Fabio Miretti, Patrizio Masini, Milan Badelj, Vitinha, Alessandro Zanoli – Andrea Pinamonti.

Midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi will miss the match due to injury.

Lazio

In the last round, Marco Baroni's side shared the spoils with Roma in a 1-1 draw. Consequently, the team has avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches (4 wins, 5 draws). However, Lazio has failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last 11 league encounters. The club has 56 points, occupying the sixth position in the standings, just three points shy of the top four. Notably, Lazio has scored 53 goals this season, trailing only Inter (72) and Atalanta (65) in this regard.

  • The club has not lost in 7 of their last 9 away matches in Serie A (6 wins, 1 draw).
  • At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of the team's last 7 away league matches.
  • Lazio has not conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches.

Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-5-1)

Christos Mandas – Adam Marusic, Alessio Romagnoli, Samuel Gigot, Luca Pellegrini – Gustav Isaksen, Matteo Guendouzi, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Nicolo Rovella, Mattia Zaccagni – Valentin Castellanos.

Defender Patric Gabarron will miss the match due to injury. Forward Gustav Isaksen is suspended.

Referee

Giovanni Ayroldi (Italy)

Matches – 9 (Serie A, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;

Average yellow cards per match – 6.6;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 28;

Penalties – 44%.

Match Prediction: Genoa vs. Lazio

Genoa plays boldly at home, supported by their fans, and aims to spend as much time as possible in the opponent's half. This style of play allows Genoa to regularly find the back of the net, having scored in 16 of their last 20 home Serie A matches. However, they often make defensive errors, managing only five clean sheets in their last 16 home league games.

Lazio prefers attacking football and remains aggressive even in away games. In their last 19 away Serie A encounters, they have failed to score only four times, and in seven matches, they have breached the opponent's defense at least twice. However, Lazio has struggled to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their last 18 away league matches, conceding at least twice in seven of those games.

I anticipate a high-scoring game in this encounter. My prediction: Total over 2 goals

Betting tips 23 Apr 2025

Lazio currently sit seventh in the standings but remain firmly in contention for UEFA Champions League qualification. The gap to fourth-placed Bologna is only four points, and with a game in hand against Genoa, the team from Rome will be under considerable pressure to claim all three points.

Genoa's main problem lies in the attacking third. Patrick Vieira has struggled to produce any consistent threat going forward, as reflected in the squad’s poor expected goals statistics—just 0.27 xG against Juventus (0:1) and 0.14 xG against Hellas Verona. Even in their 2:1 win over relegation contenders Lecce, Genoa managed only two shots on target. Defensively, they have not looked solid either. Although clean sheets were recorded against Udinese and Hellas Verona, those opponents still registered 0.87 xG and 1.32 xG respectively.

Lazio, by contrast, arrive on a high following a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Bodø/Glimt (3:2), booking their place in the UEFA Europa League semi-finals. Fortunately for Marco Baroni, his team were afforded six full days of rest—a recovery period that should see them return to full fitness. The timing is ideal, with Lazio appearing to rediscover their rhythm. Their leading scorer, Taty Castellanos, has returned from injury and found the net in just his second game back.

Lazio enter the fixture buoyed by their European triumph and, most importantly, in excellent physical shape. With all three points crucial, it’s hard to see one of the division’s lowest-scoring sides posing a genuine threat.

Betting prediction
Lazio to win
Cf
Odds
27/20
Bet now

Genoa vs Lazio Odds

Serie A: previous matches in the tournament

Genoa
13.04.25
Hellas Verona
Genoa
D
04.04.25
Genoa
Udinese
W
29.03.25
Juventus
Genoa
L
14.03.25
Genoa
Lecce
W
07.03.25
Cagliari
Genoa
D
02.03.25
Genoa
Empoli
D
22.02.25
Inter Milan
Genoa
L
17.02.25
Genoa
Venezia
W
08.02.25
Torino
Genoa
D
02.02.25
Fiorentina
Genoa
L
27.01.25
Genoa
Monza
W
17.01.25
AS Roma
Genoa
L
12.01.25
Genoa
Parma
W
05.01.25
Lecce
Genoa
D
28.12.24
Empoli
Genoa
W
21.12.24
Genoa
Napoli
L
15.12.24
AC Milan
Genoa
D
07.12.24
Genoa
Torino
D
01.12.24
Udinese
Genoa
W
24.11.24
Genoa
Cagliari
D
07.11.24
Genoa
Como
D
04.11.24
Parma
Genoa
W
31.10.24
Genoa
Fiorentina
L
27.10.24
Lazio
Genoa
L
19.10.24
Genoa
Bologna
D
05.10.24
Atalanta
Genoa
L
28.09.24
Genoa
Juventus
L
21.09.24
Venezia
Genoa
L
15.09.24
Genoa
AS Roma
D
01.09.24
Genoa
Hellas Verona
L
24.08.24
Monza
Genoa
W
17.08.24
Genoa
Inter Milan
D
More matches
Lazio
13.04.25
Lazio
AS Roma
D
06.04.25
Atalanta
Lazio
W
31.03.25
Lazio
Torino
D
16.03.25
Bologna
Lazio
L
10.03.25
Lazio
Udinese
D
02.03.25
AC Milan
Lazio
W
22.02.25
Venezia
Lazio
D
15.02.25
Lazio
Napoli
D
09.02.25
Lazio
Monza
W
03.02.25
Cagliari
Lazio
W
26.01.25
Lazio
Fiorentina
L
19.01.25
Hellas Verona
Lazio
W
10.01.25
Lazio
Como
D
05.01.25
AS Roma
Lazio
L
28.12.24
Lazio
Atalanta
D
21.12.24
Lecce
Lazio
W
16.12.24
Lazio
Inter Milan
L
08.12.24
Napoli
Lazio
W
01.12.24
Parma
Lazio
L
24.11.24
Lazio
Bologna
W
10.11.24
Monza
Lazio
W
04.11.24
Lazio
Cagliari
W
31.10.24
Como
Lazio
W
27.10.24
Lazio
Genoa
W
19.10.24
Juventus
Lazio
L
06.10.24
Lazio
Empoli
W
29.09.24
Torino
Lazio
W
22.09.24
Fiorentina
Lazio
L
16.09.24
Lazio
Hellas Verona
W
31.08.24
Lazio
AC Milan
D
24.08.24
Udinese
Lazio
L
18.08.24
Lazio
Venezia
W
More matches

H2H: Genoa — Lazio

Serie A 2024-2025
27.10.24
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2023-2024
19.04.24
Genoa
Lazio
Coppa Italia 2023-2024
05.12.23
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2023-2024
27.08.23
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2021-2022
10.04.22
Genoa
Lazio
17.12.21
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2020-2021
02.05.21
Lazio
Genoa
03.01.21
Genoa
Lazio
Serie A 2019-2020
23.02.20
Genoa
Lazio
29.09.19
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2018-2019
17.02.19
Genoa
Lazio
23.09.18
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2017-2018
05.02.18
Lazio
Genoa
17.09.17
Genoa
Lazio
Serie A 2016-2017
15.04.17
Genoa
Lazio
20.11.16
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2015-2016
06.02.16
Genoa
Lazio
23.09.15
Lazio
Genoa
Serie A 2014-2015
09.02.15
Lazio
Genoa
21.09.14
Genoa
Lazio
Serie A 2013-2014
25.03.14
Genoa
Lazio
2
:
0
02.11.13
Lazio
Genoa
0
:
2
Serie A 2012-2013
02.02.13
Genoa
Lazio
3
:
2
22.09.12
Lazio
Genoa
0
:
1
Serie A 2011-2012
04.02.12
Genoa
Lazio
3
:
2
17.09.11
Lazio
Genoa
1
:
2
Serie A 2010-2011
13.05.11
Lazio
Genoa
4
:
2
05.01.11
Genoa
Lazio
0
:
0
Serie A 2009-2010
24.04.10
Genoa
Lazio
1
:
2
12.12.09
Lazio
Genoa
1
:
0
Serie A 2008-2009
17.04.09
Genoa
Lazio
0
:
1
22.11.08
Lazio
Genoa
1
:
1
Serie A 2007-2008
10.05.08
Genoa
Lazio
0
:
2
12.01.08
Lazio
Genoa
1
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Inter Milan
33 21 8 4 72:32 71
2
Napoli
33 21 8 4 52:25 71
3
Atalanta
33 19 7 7 66:30 64
4
Bologna
33 16 12 5 52:37 60
5
Juventus
32 15 14 3 49:30 59
6
AS Roma
33 16 9 8 48:32 57
7
Lazio
32 16 8 8 53:43 56
8
Fiorentina
32 15 8 9 49:32 53
9
AC Milan
33 14 9 10 51:38 51
10
Torino
32 9 13 10 36:37 40
11
Udinese
32 11 7 14 36:46 40
12
Genoa
32 9 12 11 29:38 39
13
Como
33 10 9 14 43:48 39
14
Hellas Verona
33 9 5 19 30:60 32
15
Cagliari
32 7 9 16 32:47 30
16
Parma
32 5 13 14 37:51 28
17
Lecce
33 6 8 19 23:55 26
18
Venezia
33 4 13 16 27:46 25
19
Empoli
33 4 13 16 26:52 25
20
Monza
33 2 9 22 25:57 15
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Inter Milan
16 12 3 1 37:18 39
2
Napoli
16 12 2 2 26:11 38
3
Bologna
17 10 6 1 31:14 36
4
AS Roma
17 11 2 4 33:14 35
5
Juventus
17 9 7 1 27:15 34
6
Fiorentina
17 10 4 3 27:15 34
7
Atalanta
16 8 4 4 31:19 28
8
AC Milan
17 7 7 3 25:15 28
9
Lazio
16 7 7 2 30:22 28
10
Como
16 6 5 5 24:23 23
11
Udinese
16 7 2 7 19:22 23
12
Genoa
16 5 7 4 18:18 22
13
Torino
15 5 6 4 14:13 21
14
Cagliari
16 5 4 7 19:24 19
15
Parma
16 4 5 7 24:27 17
16
Venezia
16 4 5 7 13:16 17
17
Lecce
17 3 6 8 12:30 15
18
Hellas Verona
16 4 3 9 13:32 15
19
Empoli
16 1 7 8 7:22 10
20
Monza
17 1 5 11 12:24 8
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Atalanta
17 11 3 3 35:11 36
2
Napoli
17 9 6 2 26:14 33
3
Inter Milan
17 9 5 3 35:14 32
4
Lazio
16 9 1 6 23:21 28
5
Juventus
15 6 7 2 22:15 25
6
Bologna
16 6 6 4 21:23 24
7
AC Milan
16 7 2 7 26:23 23
8
AS Roma
16 5 7 4 15:18 22
9
Fiorentina
15 5 4 6 22:17 19
10
Torino
17 4 7 6 22:24 19
11
Udinese
16 4 5 7 17:24 17
12
Genoa
16 4 5 7 11:20 17
13
Hellas Verona
17 5 2 10 17:28 17
14
Como
17 4 4 9 19:25 16
15
Empoli
17 3 6 8 19:30 15
16
Cagliari
16 2 5 9 13:23 11
17
Parma
16 1 8 7 13:24 11
18
Lecce
16 3 2 11 11:25 11
19
Venezia
17 0 8 9 14:30 8
20
Monza
16 1 4 11 13:33 7

Team lineups

Genoa

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Nicola Leali
gk. 25 -23
Johan Vásquez
df. 31 2
Aaron Martin
df. 30 0
Koni De Winter
df. 20 3
Brooke Dion Nelson Norton-Cuffy
df. 8 0
Sebastian Otoa
df. 0 0
Morten Frendrup
mf. 30 2
Morten Thorsby
mf. 26 0
Patrizio Masini
mf. 20 1
Andrea Pinamonti
fw. 31 8
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
fw. 19 0
Substitutes
Benjamin Siegrist
gk. 0 0
Daniele Sommariva
gk. 0 0
Stefano Sabelli
df. 28 0
Alessandro Zanoli
df. 27 1
Mattia Bani
df. 17 0
Honest Ahanor
df. 2 0
Matteo Barbini
df. 0 0
Milan Badelj
mf. 22 1
Lior Kassa
mf. 6 0
Jeff Ekhator Osayuki
fw. 20 1
Junior Walter Messias
fw. 12 1
Lorenzo Venturino
fw. 3 0
Joi Xheto Nuredini
fw. 0 0
Lazio

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Christos Mandas
gk. 3 -1
Adam Marušić
df. 29 4
Alessio Romagnoli
df. 26 2
Mario Gila Fuentes
df. 26 1
Luca Pellegrini
df. 17 0
Matteo Guendouzi
mf. 31 1
Mattia Zaccagni
mf. 29 8
Nicolo Rovella
mf. 27 0
Manuel Lazzari
mf. 23 0
Boulaye Dia
fw. 29 7
Valentín Mariano José Castellanos Giménez
fw. 23 9
Substitutes
Ivan Provedel
gk. 29 -42
Alessio Furlanetto
gk. 0 0
Samuel Gigot
df. 13 2
Elseid Hysaj
df. 7 0
Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen
df. 1 0
Oluwafisayo Faruq Dele-Bashiru
mf. 19 3
Matías Vecino
mf. 14 1
Reda Belahyane
mf. 5 0
Arijon Ibrahimović
mf. 1 0
Toma Bašić
mf. 0 0
Tijjani Noslin
fw. 27 2
Pedro
fw. 24 6
Loum Tchaouna
fw. 23 1

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